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Mar 27
Dams and bridge targeted, drone recon, airstrike campaign, mechanized assault, Russia 🇷🇺 is slowly starting its Sloviansk-Kramatorsk offensive

I mapped more than 4 000 airstrikes from the Donets river to Hulialpole this winter and analysed the troops movements :

🧵THREAD🧵1/20⬇️Image
For now more than 3 years, Russia has been preparing the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk battle.

It was the objective on defeating the Bakhmut-Soledar-Siversk line in 2023, it was the objective during the Donetsk suburbs battle (2024) and the Pokrovsk battle (2025). Image
For 2026, Russia hopes to make strategic advances to the twin cities, from the north (which implies securing Lyman), the south (implies securing Kostiantynivka, Drujkivka and Dobropilla) and the east.

This is exactly what the data I collected is showing : Image
Read 20 tweets
Mar 27
Why is Ontario the only province not flying the “Lest we Forget flag?

Being Acadian I know why that is. First view this message by Ontario MPP Catherine Fife. #onpoli
German land grants were given to German Mercinaries by British Empire along with land grants to Loyalists. It is the reason. View this video 54 minutes in. nfb.ca/film/tintamarr…
Canada never quashed the fiefdoms when they formed. They use it for tax evasion. They use it to bypass laws. They gifted stolen land to to these people. British Empire stole the lands. The Queen apologized to us for it already. Acadia still exists and goes coast to coast. Image
Read 17 tweets
Mar 27
Russia poured $11.8B into occupied Ukrainian territories in 2024–2026 — 3x more than the combined development funds for 20 other Russian regions — Reuters.

The money is permanently building occupied Ukraine into Russia — ahead of any peace deal. 1/ Image
Reuters analyzed thousands of satellite images using a machine-learning model.

Result: 2,500+ km of railroads, highways and roads newly built or upgraded across occupied Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia and Kherson since 2022. 2/
Novorossiya Railways: $425M spent since 2023. A 525 km main line is under construction across all four occupied Ukrainian regions

Satellite images show a 60 km section in Donetsk already laid, built to deliver ammunition and military vehicles away from Ukrainian strike range. 3/
Read 9 tweets
Mar 27
Ukraine is no longer just learning from NATO. It is teaching it🧵

Ukraine’s battlefield experience is now shaping how allied forces train — Ukraine’s General Staff @GeneralStaffUA.

Ukrainian instructors conducted a live demonstration for international trainers under Operation Interflex in the United Kingdom — marking a shift from aid recipient to equal partner.👇Image
2/ What Ukraine brought to the table:

— Small-unit tactics in urban combat
— Fighting in forests with limited visibility
— Immediate response to ambushes
— Assault and keeping positions under fire
— Integration of reconnaissance and FPV drones into every phase of combat

All tested in real, high-intensity war.Image
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3/ Why this matters

Ukraine is one of the few armies in the world fighting a full-scale, high-intensity war against a near-peer adversary.

This is not theory. It is live, battlefield-validated doctrine.Image
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Read 4 tweets
Mar 27
In this thread, I will try to capture some political issues in tsarist Russia:
1. Stolypin's main supporters and his policies were right-wing, while his opponents were left-wing.
2. The right in Russia supported patriotism and were against non-Russian separatists.
The three main parts of the Russian right in Tsarist Russia can be called:
1. The Octobrists (conventionally right-wing liberals).
2. The All-Russian National Union (Russian Nationalists).
3. Black Hundreds (radical monarchists and Christian Orthodox)
Another interesting question is the attitude of the Russian right in tsarist Russia towards the Germans. I will also describe this topic a little. The sources will be at the end.
Read 27 tweets
Mar 27
1/ Iran is seeking to establish a pay-to-sail regime in the Strait of Hormuz, under which it could earn over a quarter of a billion dollars a day. A senior member of the Iranian parliament says that vessels seeking to transit the strait will be charged $2 million each time. ⬇️ Image
2/ The Financial Times and Rudaw report that the Iranian government intends to fully monetise the strait by forcing passing ships to pay a fee for each passage. The "new regime" has been announced on state television by Alaeddin Boroujerdi, a senior Iranian parliamentarian.
3/ Boroujerdi, a member of the parliament's National Security Committee, said that "For some ships which cross, for whatever reasons, Iran is charging them $2 million for the crossing ... In practice we have established a new regime governing the Strait of Hormuz after 47 years."
Read 13 tweets
Mar 27
Immortalization of sensitive scientific research

I've inscribed my preprint that links the WIV to a leaked dGOF MERS chimera, onto censor-resistant bitcoin following @Kevin_McKernan 's #DeSci method 🧵

Tx ID b14860b04d16ec1a90b8c701da0889b49e17efbb819f85eafe99954270bf7322 Image
@JesslovesMJK @MartyBent @TFTC21 @JonnieSparkles 1/ The pandemic saw the rise of gatekeeping of inconvenient research on C19 origin and vaccines, and other pandemic topics, by centralized preprint servers

This is a classic signaling game with a jammer : Image
2/ How are preprint servers centralized you may ask ? Some receive federal funding, their screeners typically receive federal funding, many wealthy donors have benefitted from Fed QE. They claim to be 'independent', in a similar way that Celsius was 'decentralized' Image
Read 27 tweets
Mar 27
GrapheneOS started in 2014 and was originally named CopperheadOS. In late 2015, the Copperhead company was founded which was meant to support the project. Copperhead didn't create CopperheadOS and didn't own or control it. Copperhead made a failed takeover attempt on it in 2018.
GrapheneOS still has the original CopperheadOS repositories on GitHub. Copperhead seized a bunch of the project's infrastructure and accounts. They created a closed source fork of GrapheneOS called CopperheadOS after the split which was not the same CopperheadOS as the original.
Copperhead remained entirely dependent on GrapheneOS and had to keep forking our code for each major Android update. Despite depending on GrapheneOS, they waged a war against it trying to destroy the project and attempting to ruin the lives of our team, especially our founder.
Read 11 tweets
Mar 27
1/ While both the liberal media and Trump himself are crediting the IOC policy on protection of women's sports to pressure from the Trump administration, this is one of the cases where both sides are wrong.
2/ The policy change is the results of years of non-partisan work by researchers, coaches and athletes like Sharron Davies (@sharrond62), Linda Blade (@coachblade) , Emma Hilton (@fondofbeetles), John Pike, Tommy Lundberg (@TLexercise), and Ross Tucker (@scienceofsport).
@sharrond62 @coachblade @FondOfBeetles @TLexercise @Scienceofsport 3/ Change began in 2021 when the IOC released a Framework on Fairness which allowed governing bodies for individual sports to determine their own eligibility policies. olympics.com/ioc/news/ioc-r…
Read 15 tweets
Mar 27
My little one-person business made $61,574.

Here's how I'd do it again:
1) Create Your Dream Follower

Everything is downstream from your Dream Follower.

Find their:

• What is their story?
• What are their passions?
• What are their goals?
• What are they scared of?
• What are their problems?

You don't have a niche. You have a Dream Follower.
2) Become The Only

Average creators try to be the best.

Great creators try to be the only.

The way to do it?

Sharing your origin story.

• Where you were
• Where you are now
• Where you want to be

People follow people they like and trust. Image
Read 12 tweets
Mar 27
What are the analytics telling us about Fernando Mendoza, Ty Simpson, and this year's QB class?

🧵
Film is way more important than analytics when it comes to QBs, but there are a few things we know to be true:

1- It's better to be productive and efficient in college than unproductive and inefficient (duh!)

2- Sacks are a QB stat. QBs who take a lot of sacks in college take too many sacks in the pros

3- Experience is a skill and/or the NFL doesn't understand small sample bias

/the end, that's it, there's really not much else I'm confident in
I don't think we can make any declarative statements based on the analytics. Film simply matters way more

But it can help us ask good Qs.

Unfortunately, I feel like I have wayy too many of Qs when it comes to this year's class

Here they are:
Read 26 tweets
Mar 27
I’m long Peloton at $4.

$345M in free cash flow.
$1.18B in cash (67% of market cap).
7 insiders bought in the last 90 days.

I read every earnings call. Here’s what I found.
Chewy trades at 20x FCF.
Roku trades at 22x.
Sonos at 10x.
Peloton trades at 5x.
Same playbook:
hardware → subscription → cash flow.

The market is pricing it like it’s broken.
In the last 90 days:

7 insiders bought stock on the open market.

CEO. CFO.

Not options. Not grants.

Their own cash.

Companies going to zero don’t do that.
Read 10 tweets

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